Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s announcement of a new GST structure during his Independence Day speech has created strong optimism in the markets. The proposed GST 2.0 reforms are expected to slash tax rates across multiple categories, triggering a consumption wave across key sectors.
On August 18, markets were already trading over 1% higher as investors cheered the announcement. The PM said the reforms would be in place before Diwali celebrations, making it a festive season boost for businesses and consumers alike.
The revised GST framework is likely to:
Retain the 5% and 18% slabs
Remove the 12% and 28% slabs
This restructuring would make taxation simpler and reduce the burden on consumers.
Health insurance premiums, currently taxed at 18%, may even move as low as zero, giving much-needed relief to households.
Also Read: Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank, HDFC Bank Lead Financial Rally
The proposed changes are expected to benefit consumption-driven industries the most.
Automobiles: Mass-market cars and two-wheelers could see a demand revival.
FMCG: Everyday consumer goods are set to become more affordable.
Discretionary Spending: Retail, lifestyle, and consumer durables may witness higher sales.
These sectors stand to gain directly from lower GST rates and increased consumer spending power.
The big question is whether consumption-based thematic mutual funds can ride this rally. These funds primarily invest in companies within the auto, FMCG, retail, and discretionary segments.
With GST reforms likely to improve demand and corporate earnings, mutual funds focused on consumption themes could see improved returns.
Markets have already priced in optimism, but the actual implementation of GST 2.0 will be the key trigger. If the government moves ahead with the proposed structure, investors may witness a sustained rally in consumption-oriented stocks and mutual funds.
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