India clears path for more Rafales as DAC nods ₹3.25 lakh crore France-linked defence proposals amid IAF squadron shortfall
India’s Defence Acquisition Council (DAC), the apex body for capital procurement in the armed forces, has cleared proposals linked to a broader defence package with France estimated at around ₹3.25 lakh crore, including a plan to procure 114 Rafale fighter jets for the Indian Air Force (IAF), according to people familiar with the matter.
The meeting, chaired by Defence Minister Rajnath Singh on Thursday, also approved proposals for the acquisition of SCALP cruise missiles and six additional P-8I maritime patrol aircraft for the Indian Navy, media reports citing sources said. Final contracts, cost break-ups and delivery schedules are yet to be made public.
The clearances come as the IAF grapples with a persistent shortfall in squadron strength, a structural issue that has been flagged repeatedly in official and parliamentary discussions over recent years.
Why it matters: Capability gaps and regional security dynamics
The DAC’s approvals matter because they signal intent to address capability gaps in both air combat and maritime surveillance at a time of evolving regional security dynamics.
The IAF’s fighter squadron strength has fallen to 29, well below its sanctioned strength of 42 squadrons, according to official statements. That gap is seen by defence planners as a long-term operational concern given India’s two-front security calculus and the need for sustained air readiness.
For markets and policy watchers, large defence deals also reflect the government’s capital expenditure priorities and its balancing act between imports and domestic manufacturing under the “Make in India” framework. Big-ticket acquisitions from foreign partners often involve technology transfer and offset arrangements, though specific terms in this case are not yet clear.
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What we know so far: Rafale, P-8I and missile approvals
Based on information available from official remarks and media reports:
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The DAC has cleared a proposal for 114 Rafale multi-role fighter aircraft for the IAF.
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Approval has also been given for SCALP air-launched cruise missiles, which are compatible with Rafale platforms.
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The Indian Navy is set to receive approval for six additional P-8I maritime patrol aircraft, strengthening long-range surveillance and anti-submarine capabilities.
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The meeting was chaired by the Defence Minister, indicating high-level political backing at the approval stage.
However, DAC clearance is an initial step in the procurement cycle. It allows the process to move forward but does not by itself constitute a signed contract.
Cost details, vendor structures, local manufacturing content and timelines for induction are awaited from official sources.
What remains unclear: Contracts, timelines and local content
Several key questions remain open:
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Final contract value: The ₹3.25 lakh crore figure reflects proposal estimates; negotiated contract values can change.
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Delivery timelines: It is not yet clear when the aircraft and missiles would be inducted if deals are concluded.
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Make-in-India component: Details on local assembly, technology transfer or private-sector participation have not been disclosed.
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Financing and phasing: Whether purchases will be staggered over multiple budget cycles is not publicly known.
Defence procurement processes in India typically involve multiple stages of negotiation, technical evaluation and price discovery. Officials have not yet provided a formal public breakdown.
Market or sector impact: Defence manufacturing and aerospace in focus
While individual listed defence stocks were not directly linked to the approvals in official communication, such large procurement moves typically draw investor attention to India’s defence and aerospace ecosystem.
Potential areas of market focus include:
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Domestic defence manufacturers involved in components, maintenance or offset programs
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Aerospace and electronics suppliers that could participate in integration or support
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Public-sector undertakings and private firms active in defence production
According to provisional exchange data in recent sessions, investor interest in defence-linked counters has periodically risen around major policy announcements, though stock-specific impacts depend on confirmed order flows.
Flow data on foreign and domestic institutional positioning in defence stocks is awaited, and analysts caution against assuming direct financial benefits without contract clarity.
Broader context or background: MRFA push and past Rafale induction
The latest move sits within India’s broader Multi-Role Fighter Aircraft (MRFA) program, which aims to replenish and modernize the IAF’s fleet as legacy platforms age out.
India previously inducted 36 Rafale jets under a government-to-government deal with France, with deliveries completed in recent years. Those aircraft are now integrated into frontline squadrons.
The renewed focus on Rafale comes alongside global shifts in air warfare technology, including network-centric operations, long-range precision strike and electronic warfare. Many air forces are balancing between acquiring advanced fourth-plus-generation fighters and investing in next-generation systems.
At the same time, India has been promoting indigenous platforms such as the Tejas light combat aircraft. How future imports and domestic programs are balanced remains a key policy question.
What analysts or officials are saying: Rafale performance and future needs
Vice Chief of the Air Staff, Air Marshal Nagesh Kapoor, recently highlighted the operational performance of Rafale jets, describing the aircraft as a “hero” of Operation Sindoor.
“Rafale was definitely the hero during Operation Sindoor, among several other heroes,” Kapoor said. He added that the IAF is looking to induct more MRFA, which could be Rafale or other aircraft under deliberation, and that a firm decision is yet to be taken.
He stressed that the Air Force is seeking newer-generation aircraft to strengthen its inventory, indicating that capability requirements, not just platform preference, will guide decisions.
On reports of alleged strikes on Pakistan’s Kirana Hills during the same operation, Kapoor said the IAF confined its actions to terror infrastructure and certain military installations, adding that videos circulating from the other side could not be independently verified.
What it means for investors or stakeholders: Signals on policy priorities
For investors and industry stakeholders, the DAC approvals signal:
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Continued priority for defence modernization in government spending
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Openness to foreign platforms alongside domestic development
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Potential future opportunities in offsets, maintenance and support ecosystems
However, from an investment perspective, clarity on execution matters more than announcements. Defence deals can span years between approval and revenue realization for companies.
Policy watchers also see such deals as part of India’s broader strategic partnerships, where defence ties intersect with diplomacy and technology cooperation.
What to watch next: From approval to execution
Key triggers ahead include:
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Formal contract announcements and government disclosures
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Details on local manufacturing or offsets
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Budgetary allocations in upcoming defence outlays
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Timelines for induction into IAF and Navy fleets
Until those details emerge, the DAC’s decision is best read as a policy signal rather than a final procurement outcome.
For now, the approvals underscore India’s attempt to bridge capability gaps while navigating fiscal, industrial and geopolitical considerations. Whether the full ₹3.25 lakh crore vision translates into signed deals will depend on negotiations in the months ahead, with details still awaited from official sources.
