{"id":7174,"date":"2025-04-17T17:46:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-17T12:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trending.niftytrader.in\/?p=7174"},"modified":"2025-04-17T17:46:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-17T12:16:00","slug":"gold-surges-to-new-highs-but-experts-warn-against-overexposure-in-indian-portfolios","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/gold-surges-to-new-highs-but-experts-warn-against-overexposure-in-indian-portfolios\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Surges to New Highs, But Experts Warn Against Overexposure in Indian Portfolios"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 data-start=\"95\" data-end=\"165\">Rising Gold Prices Trigger Investment Rush Amid Global Uncertainty<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"167\" data-end=\"685\">Gold prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) soared to a record \u20b995,000 per 10 grams on April 16, marking a dramatic 25% jump in just six weeks. The surge, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and heightened market volatility, has reignited investor interest in the precious metal. Yet, even as the rally draws in fresh inflows, financial advisors caution that many Indian investors may already be overexposed to gold\u2014and risk sacrificing long-term portfolio performance if they don&#8217;t rebalance soon.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"\" data-start=\"687\" data-end=\"706\"><strong data-start=\"692\" data-end=\"706\">Highlights<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"707\" data-end=\"963\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"707\" data-end=\"799\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"709\" data-end=\"799\">Gold prices hit an all-time high of \u20b995,000 per 10 grams on April 16, up 25% in six weeks.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"800\" data-end=\"876\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"802\" data-end=\"876\">Experts warn that many Indian investors are already over-invested in gold.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"877\" data-end=\"963\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"879\" data-end=\"963\">Overexposure may reduce long-term portfolio returns despite gold\u2019s short-term shine.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-start=\"970\" data-end=\"1027\">Gold as a Portfolio Stabilizer\u2014Not a Wealth Generator<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1029\" data-end=\"1456\">Financial professionals widely agree that gold plays an important but limited role in portfolio construction. \u201cGold is great for diversification, not for long-term wealth creation,\u201d said Anil Ghelani, Head of Passive Investments and Products at DSP Mutual Fund. He emphasized that while gold\u2019s low correlation with equities makes it a useful hedge during market downturns, an allocation above 10% could dilute growth potential.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1458\" data-end=\"1737\">Silver, often seen as gold\u2019s cousin in diversification, also offers defensive benefits but is more sensitive to industrial cycles and broader economic trends. The key takeaway: while gold buffers volatility, it\u2019s not designed to outperform other asset classes over the long term.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"\" data-start=\"1739\" data-end=\"1758\"><strong data-start=\"1744\" data-end=\"1758\">Highlights<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"1759\" data-end=\"1938\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1759\" data-end=\"1803\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1761\" data-end=\"1803\">Ideal gold allocation: 5\u201310% of portfolio.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1804\" data-end=\"1865\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1806\" data-end=\"1865\">Gold offers stability but lacks long-term growth potential.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1866\" data-end=\"1938\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1868\" data-end=\"1938\">Silver has diversification benefits but is more economically cyclical.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-start=\"1945\" data-end=\"1999\">Indian Households Significantly Overweight on Gold<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2001\" data-end=\"2408\">Data from the Reserve Bank of India and wealth management firms reveal that Indian families may already be holding excessive amounts of gold. According to Shweta Rajani, Head of Mutual Funds at Anand Rathi Wealth, Indian households typically hold about 20% of their wealth in gold, compared to just 12\u201315% in equities. In contrast, global investors maintain less than 5% in gold and roughly 25% in equities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2410\" data-end=\"2732\">This skewed asset allocation makes Indian portfolios more defensive than necessary, limiting growth prospects. \u201cDiversification isn\u2019t just about adding gold\u2014it\u2019s about maintaining the right balance between risk and return,\u201d Rajani stressed. She recommends reducing gold holdings to around 5% for a healthier portfolio mix.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"\" data-start=\"2734\" data-end=\"2753\"><strong data-start=\"2739\" data-end=\"2753\">Highlights<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"2754\" data-end=\"2967\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2754\" data-end=\"2813\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2756\" data-end=\"2813\">Indian households hold about 20% of their wealth in gold.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2814\" data-end=\"2889\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2816\" data-end=\"2889\">Global investors typically allocate under 5% to gold and 25% to equities.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2890\" data-end=\"2967\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2892\" data-end=\"2967\">Financial advisors urge a rebalancing to avoid overly defensive portfolios.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-start=\"2974\" data-end=\"3028\">Gold\u2019s Risks and Volatility Often Underappreciated<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3030\" data-end=\"3413\">Contrary to popular perception, gold is not risk-free. Rajani pointed out that gold\u2019s volatility is around 10%, which is not far from the 13\u201314% seen in equity mutual funds over a 3\u20135 year rolling period. Moreover, gold has a mixed track record in terms of returns. Between 2014 and 2019, for instance, it delivered only a 2% annual return, while equities returned approximately 11%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3415\" data-end=\"3672\">\u201cGold\u2019s role is not to outperform\u2014it\u2019s to smooth out volatility,\u201d Ghelani reiterated. This suggests that relying on gold for long-term capital appreciation could lead to investor disappointment, especially in high-inflation or high-opportunity environments.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"\" data-start=\"3674\" data-end=\"3693\"><strong data-start=\"3679\" data-end=\"3693\">Highlights<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"3694\" data-end=\"3905\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3694\" data-end=\"3760\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3696\" data-end=\"3760\">Gold\u2019s volatility is close to equity mutual funds at around 10%.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3761\" data-end=\"3832\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3763\" data-end=\"3832\">Past periods, like 2014\u20132019, show gold underperformance vs equities.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3833\" data-end=\"3905\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3835\" data-end=\"3905\">Gold should be seen as a volatility hedge, not a primary growth asset.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"\" data-start=\"3912\" data-end=\"3962\">Rupee Depreciation No Longer a Strong Tailwind<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3964\" data-end=\"4286\">Historically, rupee depreciation has contributed significantly to gold\u2019s performance in India. Rajani estimates that 3\u20133.5% of gold\u2019s annualized return over the past decade came from a weakening currency. However, with India&#8217;s macroeconomic fundamentals improving and the rupee stabilizing, this tailwind may not continue.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4288\" data-end=\"4538\">\u201cIf you\u2019re buying gold for a wedding or near-term consumption, it makes sense,\u201d Rajani noted. \u201cBut as a long-term investment, it\u2019s not the most efficient asset.\u201d This shift in currency dynamics may further limit gold\u2019s appeal as an investment avenue.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"\" data-start=\"4540\" data-end=\"4559\"><strong data-start=\"4545\" data-end=\"4559\">Highlights<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"4560\" data-end=\"4765\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4560\" data-end=\"4640\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4562\" data-end=\"4640\">Rupee depreciation added 3\u20133.5% to gold returns annually over the past decade.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4641\" data-end=\"4695\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4643\" data-end=\"4695\">A stronger rupee may dampen future gold performance.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4696\" data-end=\"4765\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4698\" data-end=\"4765\">Gold purchases should be goal-linked, not purely investment-driven.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"\" data-start=\"4772\" data-end=\"4827\">ETFs Preferred Over Physical Gold Amid SGB Scarcity<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4829\" data-end=\"5202\">In the face of soaring physical gold premiums and limited availability of Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs), many experts suggest using Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) as a more efficient vehicle. \u201cETFs provide liquidity, low cost, and transparency,\u201d said Rahul Gupta, a Mumbai-based financial advisor. Importantly, ETFs benefit from equity-like taxation when held over three years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"5204\" data-end=\"5449\">While gold ETFs have delivered around 12% annualized returns over the past decade, Gupta warned that past performance is no guarantee of future returns. The key is using ETFs as a tool for precision exposure\u2014not a reason to chase the gold rally.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"\" data-start=\"5451\" data-end=\"5470\"><strong data-start=\"5456\" data-end=\"5470\">Highlights<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"5471\" data-end=\"5644\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"5471\" data-end=\"5527\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"5473\" data-end=\"5527\">ETFs are preferred over physical gold and scarce SGBs.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"5528\" data-end=\"5587\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"5530\" data-end=\"5587\">Benefits include liquidity, tax efficiency, and low cost.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"5588\" data-end=\"5644\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"5590\" data-end=\"5644\">Historical returns of 12% annualized may not continue.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"\" data-start=\"5651\" data-end=\"5720\">Gold\u2019s Hedge Value Still Relevant\u2014But Not a Substitute for Growth<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"5722\" data-end=\"6055\">Despite current price highs, gold remains a useful hedge in an uncertain world. Nikhil Gupta, Founder at Sage Capital, pointed out that central banks, including those in India and China, continue to accumulate gold systematically. \u201cThey\u2019re treating gold like a SIP\u2014not trying to time the market, but focusing on long-term stability.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"6057\" data-end=\"6376\">However, he advises against shifting capital from equities into gold at this stage. \u201cIf you\u2019d moved six months ago, you\u2019d have caught the rally. Now, equity corrections are largely priced in, so gold is a good-to-have, not a substitute.\u201d The overarching message: maintain gold exposure, but don\u2019t let it grow unchecked.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"\" data-start=\"6378\" data-end=\"6397\"><strong data-start=\"6383\" data-end=\"6397\">Highlights<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"6398\" data-end=\"6584\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"6398\" data-end=\"6466\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"6400\" data-end=\"6466\">Central banks continue to accumulate gold amid geopolitical risks.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"6467\" data-end=\"6525\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"6469\" data-end=\"6525\">Gold should supplement, not replace, equity investments.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"6526\" data-end=\"6584\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"6528\" data-end=\"6584\">SIP-style gold accumulation may work, but timing is key.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rising Gold Prices Trigger Investment Rush Amid Global Uncertainty Gold prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) soared to a record \u20b995,000 per 10 grams on April 16, marking a dramatic 25% jump in just six weeks. The surge, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and heightened market volatility, has reignited investor interest in the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1362],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[1331],"class_list":{"0":"post-7174","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-finance-and-economy-news"}," _eael_post_view_count":0,"authors":[{"term_id":1331,"user_id":4,"is_guest":0,"slug":"sourabh","display_name":"Sourabh Sharma","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/trending.niftytrader.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Sourabh-Sharma.png","url2x":"https:\/\/trending.niftytrader.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Sourabh-Sharma.png"},"0":null,"1":"","2":"","3":"","4":"","5":"","6":"","7":""}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7174","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7174"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7174\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7176,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7174\/revisions\/7176"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7175"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7174"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7174"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7174"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=7174"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}