{"id":8895,"date":"2025-05-17T09:50:33","date_gmt":"2025-05-17T04:20:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trending.niftytrader.in\/?p=8895"},"modified":"2025-05-17T09:50:33","modified_gmt":"2025-05-17T04:20:33","slug":"wall-street-strategists-react-to-moodys-us-credit-rating-downgrade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wall-street-strategists-react-to-moodys-us-credit-rating-downgrade\/","title":{"rendered":"Wall Street Strategists React to Moody\u2019s US Credit Rating Downgrade"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"151\">Downgrade Triggers Market Volatility as US Loses Last Major Triple-A Rating<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"153\" data-end=\"732\">US financial markets reacted sharply to Moody\u2019s Ratings cutting the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, with major equity indices dipping and Treasury yields rising in after-hours trading. The Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 ETF, tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100, fell 1.3%, while an ETF tied to the broader S&amp;P 500 Index dropped by 1%. The move marks the third downgrade of America\u2019s sovereign rating by a major agency, following similar decisions from Fitch Ratings and S&amp;P Global Ratings, and underscores mounting fiscal risks amid growing federal debt and elevated interest costs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"734\" data-end=\"1243\">Moody\u2019s cited the deteriorating fiscal outlook, highlighting the accumulation of debt and a higher interest burden on the US government as reasons for the rating cut. This downgrade clouds the nation\u2019s historic role as the world\u2019s most stable and creditworthy borrower. Analysts warn that while the S&amp;P 500 has rebounded from recent losses, this downgrade could trigger a shift in market sentiment, particularly as economic indicators begin to reflect the negative impact of tariffs and political dysfunction.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1245\" data-end=\"1260\"><strong data-start=\"1245\" data-end=\"1260\">Highlights:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1261\" data-end=\"1567\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1261\" data-end=\"1348\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1263\" data-end=\"1348\">Moody\u2019s downgrade moves US from Aaa to Aa1, matching earlier Fitch and S&amp;P decisions.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1349\" data-end=\"1428\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1351\" data-end=\"1428\">S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq-linked ETFs fell postmarket; Treasury futures also dipped.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1429\" data-end=\"1498\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1431\" data-end=\"1498\">Downgrade tied to long-term debt growth and higher interest burden.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1499\" data-end=\"1567\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1501\" data-end=\"1567\">Market analysts expect potential profit-taking after recent rally.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-start=\"1574\" data-end=\"1637\">Strategic Reactions: Market Caution Amid Fiscal Uncertainty<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1639\" data-end=\"2059\">Dave Mazza, CEO of Roundhill Investments, suggested that the downgrade\u2019s impact could be moderate, as markets have already priced in concerns around America\u2019s fiscal outlook. Unlike S&amp;P\u2019s downgrade in August 2011, which shocked markets, this action by Moody\u2019s was widely anticipated. \u201cMarkets have likely seen a diminished US credit profile coming for some time,\u201d he said, downplaying the potential for widespread panic.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2061\" data-end=\"2348\">In contrast, Thomas Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, was more cautious, citing rising Treasury yields as a red flag. \u201cThis is not like when S&amp;P lowered the AAA rating back in 2011. Rates moving higher, faster and sharper has been number one on the risk list for me,\u201d he warned.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2350\" data-end=\"2365\"><strong data-start=\"2350\" data-end=\"2365\">Highlights:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2366\" data-end=\"2568\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2366\" data-end=\"2429\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2368\" data-end=\"2429\">Mazza sees downgrade as priced-in, unlike the 2011 S&amp;P shock.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2430\" data-end=\"2496\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2432\" data-end=\"2496\">Thornton sees risk in rapid bond yield increases post-downgrade.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2497\" data-end=\"2568\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2499\" data-end=\"2568\">Potential volatility from investor reallocation away from Treasuries.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-start=\"2575\" data-end=\"2634\">Concerns Over Fiscal Trajectory and Investor Psychology<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2636\" data-end=\"3042\">Kim Forrest, CIO at Bokeh Capital Partners, interpreted the downgrade as an alarm bell for future debt sustainability. She pointed out that the bond market is already aware of these fiscal dynamics, suggesting that sophisticated investors have long factored in concerns about rising US deficits. \u201cThis is not the first time the US has been downgraded\u2026 none of this is news to informed investors,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3044\" data-end=\"3302\">Dan Greenhaus of Solus Alternative Asset Management echoed this sentiment, noting that Moody\u2019s announcement was \u201cnot telling us anything new.\u201d He highlighted the scale of the current peacetime budget deficit, describing it as unprecedented in modern history.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3304\" data-end=\"3735\">Max Gokhman, Deputy CIO at Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, issued a more serious warning. He cautioned that major institutional and sovereign investors could begin shifting away from US Treasuries toward alternative safe-haven assets. This could, he warned, create a \u201cbear steepener\u201d \u2014 a scenario where long-term bond yields rise faster than short-term ones \u2014 potentially destabilizing both the bond market and the dollar.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3737\" data-end=\"3752\"><strong data-start=\"3737\" data-end=\"3752\">Highlights:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"3753\" data-end=\"3953\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3753\" data-end=\"3819\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3755\" data-end=\"3819\">Forrest says bond investors already anticipated downgrade risks.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3820\" data-end=\"3883\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3822\" data-end=\"3883\">Greenhaus highlights historic scale of peacetime US deficits.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3884\" data-end=\"3953\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3886\" data-end=\"3953\">Gokhman warns of bear steepener and capital flight from Treasuries.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-start=\"3960\" data-end=\"4019\">Downgrade May Spur Profit Taking, Not a Market Collapse<\/h2>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4021\" data-end=\"4372\">Michael O\u2019Rourke, Chief Market Strategist at JonesTrading, believes that while the downgrade will lead to some short-term profit-taking after the recent market rebound, parallels to the 2011 downgrade might be overblown. He recalled that despite initial bond sell-offs after the S&amp;P downgrade, Treasuries later rallied as investors sought safe havens.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4374\" data-end=\"4750\">Keith Lerner, Co-CIO at Truist Advisory Services, reinforced the view that the downgrade won\u2019t be a major market disruptor. \u201cI don\u2019t think this is a game changer,\u201d he said, though he acknowledged it may \u201cprovide an excuse\u201d for investors to lock in gains. He also suggested that the downgrade would increase focus on the ongoing tax policy discussions and future deficit risks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4752\" data-end=\"4767\"><strong data-start=\"4752\" data-end=\"4767\">Highlights:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"4768\" data-end=\"5045\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4768\" data-end=\"4849\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4770\" data-end=\"4849\">O\u2019Rourke expects near-term equity profit-taking but sees limited systemic risk.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4850\" data-end=\"4961\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4852\" data-end=\"4961\">Lerner downplays the downgrade\u2019s significance but notes its potential to reframe deficit and tax discussions.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4962\" data-end=\"5045\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4964\" data-end=\"5045\">Market participants likely to become more selective amid tighter fiscal scrutiny.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Downgrade Triggers Market Volatility as US Loses Last Major Triple-A Rating US financial markets reacted sharply to Moody\u2019s Ratings cutting the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, with major equity indices dipping and Treasury yields rising in after-hours trading. The Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 ETF, tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100, fell 1.3%, while an [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[615],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[1331],"class_list":{"0":"post-8895","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-stock-market-news"}," _eael_post_view_count":0,"authors":[{"term_id":1331,"user_id":4,"is_guest":0,"slug":"sourabh","display_name":"Sourabh Sharma","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/trending.niftytrader.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Sourabh-Sharma.png","url2x":"https:\/\/trending.niftytrader.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Sourabh-Sharma.png"},"0":null,"1":"","2":"","3":"","4":"","5":"","6":"","7":""}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8895"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8895\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8897,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8895\/revisions\/8897"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8895"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.niftytrader.in\/markets\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=8895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}