Tata Motors PV Shares Crash 6% After Weak Q2, JLR Guidance Cut

Tata Motors
4 Min Read

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV) began the week on a weak note, with the stock falling as much as 6% on Monday after the company reported a disappointing Q2 FY26 performance. The decline was primarily driven by Jaguar Land Rover’s sharp deterioration in profitability, a steep cut in its full-year margin guidance, and the operational setback caused by the recent cyberattack.

At market open, Tata Motors PV shares were trading at ₹369, down 5.7% from Friday’s close of ₹391.2. Analysts said the correction reflects concerns over the depth of JLR’s disruption, the scale of the EBITDA loss, and a divided view on the company’s near-term recovery path. This was also the first quarterly result of Tata Motors PV as a standalone entity, coming at a time of muted global demand for premium vehicles.

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Q2 Snapshot: JLR Losses Mount, Margin Outlook Slashed

The quarter turned sharply weaker due to the steep decline in JLR’s performance.
Jaguar Land Rover cut its full-year EBIT margin guidance to 0–2% from 5–7%, and warned of a GBP 2.2–2.5 billion free cash outflow for FY26.

JLR reported:

  • GBP 485 million loss before tax and exceptional items

  • 24.3% YoY revenue decline to GBP 24.9 billion

  • Negative margins as the cyber incident halted production in September

The cyberattack had a significant operational impact, worsening an already challenging quarter.

For the passenger vehicles business:

  • Adjusted for the CV demerger one-time gain, the PV division would have reported a ₹6,370-crore loss, compared to a ₹3,056-crore profit last year

  • Standalone TMPV posted an adjusted loss of ₹237 crore

  • Revenue rose 6% to ₹12,751 crore

  • EBITDA fell sharply to ₹303 crore from ₹717 crore

  • Margins shrank to 2.4%

The steep drop in EBITDA and margins highlighted the pressure on operating performance across the PV and JLR segments.

Brokerage Views: Sentiment Cautious, Outlook Divided

Top brokerages offered mixed reactions, with concerns largely centered around JLR’s performance and the impact of the cyberattack.

Jefferies: Underperform | Target ₹300

Jefferies believes the cyberattack will continue to affect Q3, with normalisation expected only in Q4. It flagged structural challenges at JLR including:

  • Intensifying competition

  • China’s consumption tax

  • Higher discounting

  • BEV transition pressures

  • An ageing model line-up

It added that India’s PV resilience is “not enough to offset JLR weakness.”

Goldman Sachs: Neutral | Target ₹365

Goldman Sachs stated that Q2 performance suffered due to a larger-than-estimated disruption at JLR, with revenue beating estimates but EBITDA missing sharply (+2% / -130% vs. forecast).

JLR now expects 30,000 units of lost production in Q3, higher than the 20,000 units lost in Q2.

CLSA: Outperform | Target ₹450

CLSA noted the JLR margin setback, with EBIT margin at –8.6% vs –2% expected, driven by the complete production halt in September. It highlighted:

  • October production at 17,000 units

  • India PV EBITDA margin at 5.8%

The firm remains constructive on the India PV business, citing benefits from GST cuts for small-to-mid SUVs, though it acknowledged JLR’s significantly lower FY26 margin guidance.

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I am Jitesh Kanwariya is a professional stock market analyst and F&O trader with expertise in derivatives and market research. A Python developer by profession, he leverages data-driven insights to analyse market trends and simplify trading for investors.
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